Predictive Rate of Victory

2025 Season

Predictive Rate of Victory measures how often a given indicator predicts victory, i.e., how often teams better in a given indicator beat their opponent that week. You’ll notice that Predictive Rate of Victory grows stronger later in the year, as we develop a critical mass of data.

Quality Stats
Week	DPR	RQRD	DHI	DRPYPA	RPYPA	OHI	ORR	SCOR	BEND	DQBR	PRD
Week 2	6 - 10	10 - 6	8 - 8	6 - 10	8 - 8	7 - 8	10 - 6	12 - 4	10 - 6	5 - 11	11 - 5
Week 3	8 - 8	8 - 8	8 - 8	6 - 10	7 - 9	6 - 9	7 - 9	7 - 9	5 - 11	6 - 10	8 - 8
Week 4	8 - 7	10 - 5	6 - 9	7 - 8	7 - 8	8 - 7	9 - 6	6 - 9	9 - 6	8 - 7	8 - 7
Week 5	6 - 8	6 - 8	9 - 5	7 - 7	5 - 9	8 - 5	6 - 8	4 - 10	10 - 4	6 - 8	4 - 10
Week 6	10 - 5	10 - 5	10 - 5	9 - 6	10 - 5	8 - 7	8 - 7	7 - 8	7 - 8	9 - 6	12 - 3
Week 7	7 - 8	10 - 5	8 - 7	6 - 9	8 - 7	7 - 8	10 - 5	11 - 4	8 - 7	6 - 9	9 - 6
Week 8	7 - 6	9 - 4	6 - 5	10 - 3	9 - 4	8 - 4	8 - 5	8 - 5	7 - 6	8 - 5	10 - 3
Week 9	8 - 6	9 - 5	11 - 3	7 - 6	8 - 6	7 - 6	7 - 7	8 - 6	8 - 6	7 - 7	8 - 6
Week 10	8 - 6	12 - 2	9 - 5	6 - 8	11 - 3	8 - 6	6 - 8	10 - 4	9 - 5	7 - 7	12 - 2
Week 11	10 - 5	9 - 6	5 - 9	6 - 9	9 - 6	9 - 6	7 - 8	8 - 7	11 - 4	8 - 7	9 - 6
Week 12	10 - 4	8 - 6	9 - 5	9 - 5	9 - 5	9 - 5	11 - 3	9 - 5	10 - 4	9 - 5	7 - 7
Week 13	8 - 8	7 - 9	6 - 9	7 - 8	8 - 8	8 - 8	8 - 8	10 - 6	9 - 7	8 - 8	8 - 8
Week 14	9 - 5	8 - 6	10 - 3	12 - 2	7 - 7	5 - 8	5 - 9	7 - 7	10 - 4	11 - 3	7 - 7
Week 15	13 - 3	13 - 3	12 - 4	14 - 2	8 - 8	8 - 7	9 - 7	9 - 7	12 - 4	14 - 2	11 - 5
Week 16	11 - 5	8 - 8	8 - 8	10 - 6	9 - 7	5 - 11	5 - 11	9 - 7	11 - 5	9 - 7	7 - 9
Week 17	11 - 5	8 - 8	9 - 6	12 - 3	7 - 9	5 - 10	7 - 9	10 - 6	11 - 5	11 - 5	8 - 8
Week 18	10 - 6	10 - 6	11 - 4	11 - 5	9 - 7	6 - 10	10 - 6	11 - 5	10 - 6	12 - 4	9 - 7
Regular Season	150 - 105	155 - 100	145 - 103	145 - 107	139 - 116	122 - 125	133 - 122	146 - 109	157 - 98	144 - 111	148 - 107
Rate	59%	61%	58%	58%	59%	49%	52%	57%	62%	56%	58%
Wild Card Playoffs	3 - 3	4 - 2	2 - 4	3 - 3	5 - 1	4 - 1	4 - 2	4 - 2	4 - 2	4 - 2	4 - 2
Divisional Playoffs	3 - 1	2 - 2	3 - 1	3 - 1	3 - 1	1 - 3	2 - 2	3 - 1	3 - 1	3 - 1	3 - 1
Conference Championships	1 - 1	0 - 2	1 - 1	1 - 1	2 - 0	0 - 2	1 - 1	2 - 0	2 - 0	1 - 1	1 - 1
Regular Season	157 - 110	161 - 106	151 - 109	152 - 112	149 - 118	127 - 131	140 - 127	155 - 112	166 - 101	152 - 115	156 - 111
Rate	59%	60%	58%	58%	61%	49%	52%	58%	62%	57%	58%

Quality Stats
Week	TTY	RRD	QS	REL	Overall	OPR	TTYD	DRR	TTYA	QBR
Week 2	10 - 6	9 - 7	11 - 5	0 - 0	10 - 6	13 - 3	7 - 9	8 - 8	7 - 9	11 - 5
Week 3	9 - 7	5 - 11	10 - 6	9 - 7	8 - 8	7 - 9	11 - 5	7 - 9	10 - 6	8 - 8
Week 4	9 - 6	10 - 5	7 - 8	9 - 6	8 - 7	9 - 6	9 - 6	7 - 8	7 - 8	9 - 6
Week 5	7 - 7	8 - 6	4 - 10	6 - 8	7 - 7	5 - 9	10 - 4	8 - 6	10 - 4	6 - 8
Week 6	9 - 6	9 - 6	9 - 6	10 - 5	10 - 5	8 - 7	10 - 5	7 - 8	8 - 7	7 - 8
Week 7	8 - 7	8 - 7	8 - 7	11 - 4	10 - 5	12 - 3	9 - 6	8 - 7	8 - 7	11 - 4
Week 8	8 - 5	7 - 6	8 - 5	9 - 4	11 - 2	11 - 2	9 - 4	5 - 8	7 - 6	9 - 4
Week 9	6 - 8	8 - 6	8 - 6	8 - 6	10 - 4	8 - 6	9 - 5	10 - 4	9 - 5	8 - 6
Week 10	8 - 6	8 - 6	8 - 6	10 - 4	10 - 4	11 - 3	8 - 6	8 - 6	6 - 8	12 - 2
Week 11	8 - 7	10 - 5	11 - 4	9 - 6	10 - 5	10 - 5	11 - 4	9 - 6	7 - 8	10 - 5
Week 12	8 - 6	12 - 2	10 - 4	11 - 3	10 - 4	8 - 6	10 - 4	8 - 6	9 - 5	9 - 5
Week 13	9 - 7	6 - 10	12 - 4	9 - 7	8 - 8	8 - 8	8 - 8	7 - 9	9 - 7	7 - 9
Week 14	5 - 9	7 - 7	10 - 4	9 - 5	8 - 5	7 - 7	9 - 5	11 - 3	11 - 3	7 - 7
Week 15	9 - 7	11 - 5	10 - 6	12 - 4	10 - 6	9 - 7	13 - 3	12 - 4	10 - 6	8 - 8
Week 16	5 - 11	7 - 9	10 - 6	7 - 9	8 - 8	6 - 10	9 - 7	10 - 6	10 - 6	7 - 9
Week 17	9 - 7	8 - 8	9 - 7	10 - 6	8 - 8	7 - 9	10 - 6	10 - 6	10 - 6	7 - 9
Week 18	8 - 8	14 - 2	12 - 4	10 - 6	12 - 4	6 - 10	10 - 6	11 - 5	11 - 5	9 - 7
Regular Season	135 - 120	147 - 108	157 - 98	149 - 90	158 - 96	145 - 110	162 - 93	146 - 109	149 - 106	145 - 110
Rate	53%	58%	62%	62%	62%	57%	64%	57%	58%	57%
Wild Card Playoffs	6 - 0	4 - 2	2 - 4	3 - 3	3 - 3	4 - 2	6 - 0	3 - 3	3 - 3	4 - 2
Divisional Playoffs	3 - 1	4 - 0	3 - 1	2 - 2	4 - 0	2 - 2	3 - 1	4 - 0	3 - 1	2 - 2
Conference Championships	1 - 1	1 - 1	1 - 1	1 - 1	1 - 1	1 - 1	1 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 2	1 - 1
All Games	145 - 122	156 - 111	163 - 104	155 - 96	166 - 100	152 - 115	172 - 95	154 - 113	155 - 112	152 - 115
Rate	54%	58%	61%	62%	62%	57%	64%	58%	58%	57%

Commonly Used Stats
Week	PYds	RYds	RY/A	PY/A	Int	NPP%	3rd%
Week 2	8 - 8	9 - 7	6 - 10	8 - 8	8 - 2	11 - 5	11 - 5
Week 3	7 - 9	7 - 9	6 - 10	7 - 9	4 - 7	8 - 7	9 - 6
Week 4	7 - 8	8 - 7	10 - 5	7 - 8	5 - 8	10 - 3	8 - 7
Week 5	5 - 9	9 - 5	8 - 6	5 - 9	8 - 6	9 - 3	5 - 8
Week 6	10 - 5	6 - 9	6 - 9	10 - 5	6 - 5	6 - 5	9 - 5
Week 7	8 - 7	8 - 7	5 - 10	8 - 7	8 - 5	11 - 4	10 - 4
Week 8	9 - 4	6 - 7	10 - 3	9 - 4	10 - 2	5 - 7	8 - 5
Week 9	8 - 6	8 - 6	8 - 6	8 - 6	5 - 5	7 - 7	6 - 6
Week 10	11 - 3	8 - 6	9 - 5	11 - 3	8 - 6	7 - 6	6 - 7
Week 11	9 - 6	8 - 7	8 - 7	9 - 6	8 - 6	10 - 4	10 - 4
Week 12	9 - 5	10 - 4	7 - 7	9 - 5	9 - 5	11 - 1	7 - 6
Week 13	8 - 8	11 - 5	8 - 8	8 - 8	6 - 10	10 - 5	11 - 3
Week 14	7 - 7	5 - 9	7 - 7	7 - 7	6 - 7	5 - 8	6 - 7
Week 15	8 - 8	10 - 6	9 - 7	8 - 8	6 - 9	9 - 5	7 - 8
Week 16	9 - 7	7 - 9	6 - 10	9 - 7	6 - 8	6 - 7	8 - 7
Week 17	7 - 9	4 - 12	4 - 12	7 - 9	5 - 9	9 - 7	6 - 10
Week 18	9 - 7	8 - 8	7 - 9	9 - 7	9 - 6	8 - 8	4 - 11
Regular Season	139 - 116	132 - 123	124 - 131	139 - 116	117 - 106	142 - 92	131 - 109
Rate	55%	52%	49%	55%	52%	61%	55%
Wild Card Playoffs	5 - 1	5 - 1	3 - 2	5 - 1	3 - 1	4 - 0	3 - 3
Divisional Playoffs	3 - 1	2 - 2	2 - 2	3 - 1	2 - 1	1 - 2	1 - 3
Conference Championships	2 - 0	1 - 1	1 - 1	2 - 0	1 - 1	0 - 2	1 - 1
All Games	149 - 118	140 - 127	130 - 136	149 - 118	123 - 109	147 - 96	136 - 116
Rate	56%	52%	49%	56%	53%	60%	54%