Predictive Rate of Victory

2026 Season

Predictive Rate of Victory measures how often a given indicator predicts victory, i.e., how often teams better in a given indicator beat their opponent that week. You’ll notice that Predictive Rate of Victory grows stronger later in the year, as we develop a critical mass of data.

Quality Stats
Week	DPR	RQRD	DHI	DRPYPA	RPYPA	OHI	ORR	SCOR	BEND	DQBR	PRD
Week 2	8 - 8	9 - 7	5 - 11	7 - 9	9 - 6	7 - 9	7 - 9	8 - 8	9 - 7	7 - 9	9 - 7
Week 3	7 - 9	9 - 7	10 - 6	5 - 11	5 - 11	10 - 6	11 - 5	10 - 6	8 - 8	8 - 8	8 - 8
Week 4	11 - 5	13 - 3	7 - 9	11 - 5	12 - 4	8 - 8	9 - 7	9 - 7	11 - 5	11 - 5	13 - 3
Week 5	7 - 7	11 - 3	7 - 7	10 - 4	10 - 4	5 - 7	9 - 5	9 - 5	8 - 6	8 - 6	9 - 5
Week 6	6 - 8	8 - 6	6 - 8	9 - 5	7 - 7	8 - 6	6 - 8	7 - 7	8 - 6	7 - 7	6 - 8
Week 7	7 - 7	5 - 9	5 - 9	7 - 7	5 - 9	7 - 7	6 - 8	8 - 6	5 - 9	6 - 8	5 - 9
Week 8	8 - 6	9 - 5	7 - 7	6 - 8	7 - 7	9 - 4	5 - 9	9 - 4	8 - 6	8 - 6	7 - 7
Regular Season	54 - 50	64 - 40	47 - 57	55 - 49	55 - 48	54 - 47	53 - 51	60 - 43	57 - 47	55 - 49	57 - 47
Rate	52%	62%	45%	53%	53%	53%	51%	58%	55%	53%	55%
Regular Season	54 - 50	64 - 40	47 - 57	55 - 49	55 - 48	54 - 47	53 - 51	60 - 43	57 - 47	55 - 49	57 - 47
Rate	52%	62%	45%	53%	53%	53%	51%	58%	55%	53%	55%

Quality Stats
Week	TTY	RRD	QS	REL	Overall	OPR	TTYD	DRR	TTYA	QBR
Week 2	7 - 9	9 - 7	5 - 11	0 - 0	8 - 8	7 - 9	7 - 9	8 - 8	6 - 9	9 - 7
Week 3	8 - 8	11 - 5	11 - 5	8 - 8	9 - 7	9 - 7	6 - 10	8 - 8	5 - 11	8 - 8
Week 4	9 - 7	9 - 7	10 - 6	11 - 5	12 - 4	10 - 6	10 - 6	7 - 9	8 - 8	11 - 5
Week 5	8 - 6	7 - 7	12 - 2	10 - 4	10 - 4	10 - 4	8 - 6	5 - 9	6 - 8	10 - 4
Week 6	8 - 6	5 - 9	10 - 4	8 - 6	9 - 5	6 - 8	9 - 5	5 - 9	7 - 7	7 - 7
Week 7	6 - 8	8 - 6	5 - 9	6 - 8	7 - 7	4 - 10	7 - 7	9 - 5	9 - 5	3 - 11
Week 8	10 - 4	8 - 6	8 - 6	10 - 4	8 - 6	6 - 8	9 - 5	9 - 5	4 - 10	9 - 5
Regular Season	56 - 48	57 - 47	61 - 43	53 - 35	63 - 41	52 - 52	56 - 48	51 - 53	45 - 58	57 - 47
Rate	54%	55%	59%	60%	61%	50%	54%	49%	44%	55%
All Games	56 - 48	57 - 47	61 - 43	53 - 35	63 - 41	52 - 52	56 - 48	51 - 53	45 - 58	57 - 47
Rate	54%	55%	59%	60%	61%	50%	54%	49%	44%	55%

Commonly Used Stats
Week	PYds	RYds	RY/A	PY/A	Int	NPP%	3rd%
Week 2	9 - 6	6 - 10	8 - 8	9 - 6	1 - 10	5 - 10	10 - 6
Week 3	5 - 11	11 - 4	9 - 7	5 - 11	3 - 4	10 - 5	8 - 7
Week 4	12 - 4	10 - 6	9 - 7	12 - 4	5 - 7	7 - 8	7 - 9
Week 5	10 - 4	7 - 7	7 - 7	10 - 4	9 - 4	7 - 7	5 - 7
Week 6	7 - 7	4 - 10	5 - 9	7 - 7	8 - 4	8 - 6	9 - 5
Week 7	5 - 9	9 - 5	9 - 5	5 - 9	5 - 8	4 - 8	8 - 6
Week 8	7 - 7	6 - 8	7 - 7	7 - 7	7 - 6	11 - 2	9 - 5
Regular Season	55 - 48	53 - 50	54 - 50	55 - 48	38 - 43	52 - 46	56 - 45
Rate	53%	51%	52%	53%	47%	53%	55%
All Games	55 - 48	53 - 50	54 - 50	55 - 48	38 - 43	52 - 46	56 - 45
Rate	53%	51%	52%	53%	47%	53%	55%